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More pressures on pockets as food inflation rises to 40%

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More pressures on pockets as food inflation rises to 40%
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•High electricity tariff to drive further rise — Analysts

•It’s bad for businesses – NACCIMA •Small businesses to lose capital base— ASBON

At the backdrop of sustained rise in prices of staple food items in the market, Nigeria has recorded an unprecedented food inflation rate of 40 percent in March 2024.

Economists and financial analysts explained that the development would put more pressure on the purchasing power of average Nigerian and they also predict that the trend will continue for some months before stabilising.

The food inflation drove the headline inflation rate to 33.2 percent, up from 31.7 percent recorded in the month of February.

The figures released yesterday by National Bureau of Statistics, NBS, in its Consumer Price Index, CPI, report for March 2024, represented a 2.09 and 1.5 percentage percentage points increases month-on-month.

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But the analysts see a wider headline inflationary rise in this month to 34.6 percent, representing a 2.4 percentage month-on-month rise resulting from the recent hike in electricity tariff.

Electricity tariff hike to drive further inflation – CardinalStone

Analysts at CardinalStone Finance Limited, a Lagos based investment house, indicated that further inflationary upswing should be expected following the recent drastic hike in electricity tariff.

They stated: ‘’The inflation outlook is biased to the upside, a consequence of the recent implementation of a new electricity tariff. For context, the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) have hiked price for Band A customer from N68 to N225 per kilowatt hour.

‘’Nevertheless, we see some downside risk from the recent currency sustainability. ‘’Overall, we project inflation to print 34.6% in April 2024.’’

Further rise will be slower – Alpha Morgan

In the meantime, analysts at Alpha Morgan Capital said: “From our analysis, we project that inflation will further increase but at a continuously slower rate. We tie this prediction primarily to the recent monetary interventions by the Central Bank of Nigeria in mopping up excess liquidity, curbing volatile exchange rate movement through various aggressive currency interventions, government fiscal policies, such as agricultural interventions, among others.”

Devpt is bad for businesses – NACCIMA

Meanwhile, OPS said that the persistent rising inflation could sound the death knell for small businesses in the country, with consequential loss of jobs and worsened insecurity.

Commenting, Director General of the Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines, and Agriculture (NACCIMA), Sola Obadimu, said: “Persistent rising inflation is bad for business as well as for individuals.

“It erodes income in value terms and purchasing power becomes weaker for both individuals and businesses. Inventories will continue to grow.

“It is bad for planning purposes and breeds growing uncertainty. Cost of doing business continues to grow leading to higher cost of goods. It’s cyclical.

“Even when businesses or individuals tend to earn higher income, the value (in real terms) becomes lower.”

In his reaction, President of Association of Small Business Owners of Nigeria (ASBON), Dr Femi Egbesola, said the development will worsen survival of small businesses.

He stated: “The new and rising inflation rate, affecting largely food, essential commodities, raw materials, electricity and alternative power generation, transportation among others, will continue to worsen the survival and growth of SMEs.

It will, no doubt, squeeze out the meager working capital of SMEs and make us more vulnerable to extinction.

“Not all costs can be passed to the consumers but even at that, certain costs will be passed onto them, and since they also have had their disposable income eroded by inflation, sales of goods and services of SMEs will drastically drop. For an average citizen, their standard of living and welfare will significantly drop too.

“More Nigerians will suffer from hunger, and lack of access to basic necessities and amenities, worse of it is health and medical needs.

“Overall, the implications of this on SMEs is that many more businesses will die off and become ailing, job losses will increase as many more businesses will lay off workers.

“There will be an increase in bad loans as more SMEs will be unable to fulfill their loan obligations leading to decreased access to funding from banks that will be more averse to lending to SMEs particularly with the increased interest rate, now coupled with inflation.

“More insecurity will prevail in the land for many will look for alternative illegal ways of survival. More will migrate in the name of Japa.

“The extinction of more businesses will open doors for imported products to take their space which eventually will also stress the Naira exchange rate.”

In its CPI report NBS stated: “In March 2024, the headline inflation rate increased to 33.2 percent relative to the February 2024  headline inflation rate which was 31.7 percent .

“On a YoY basis, the headline inflation rate was 11.16 percentage points higher compared to  the rate recorded in March 2023, which was 22.04 percent.

On food inflation the bureau said: “The food inflation rate in March 2024 was 40.01 percent on a year-on-year basis, which was 15.56 percentage points higher compared to the rate recorded in March 2023 (24.45 percent).

“The rise in Food inflation on a year-on-year basis was caused by increases in prices of the following items garri, millet, akpu uncooked fermented (which are under the bread and cereals class), yam tuber, water yam (under potatoes, yam, and other tubers class), dried fish sadine, mudfish dried (under Fish class), palm oil, vegetable oil (under Oil and Fat), beef feet, beef head, liver (under Meat class), coconut, water melon (under Fruit Class), Lipton tea, Bournvita, Milo (under coffee, tea and cocoa class).” (Vanguard)

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Why Tinubu embarked on three-week Europe vacation — Presidency

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The Presidency has said that President Bola Tinubu embarked on a three-week vacation to ‘refuel’ after months of intense engagement with state matters.

Special Adviser to the President on Media and Public Communications, Sunday Dare, stated this while addressing newsmen on Sunday.

According to him, the President had spent the past six to seven months handling state matters, including decisions on security and the economy, ahead of the campaign season for the 2027 elections.

“The President has had several months—six, seven months—of being engaged with state matters. We’ve seen monumental changes, monumental decisions taken with our security, with our economy and so many other things as pertains to the running of the affairs of this country,” he said.

The presidential aide further said that the campaign season had begun and would involve several months of intense political activities, although governance would continue.

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“And at this point, the campaign season has just started. We have four, five months of serious campaigning. Of course, governance will still continue,” Dare said.

Dare noted that the leave was important for the President to rest and prepare for the campaign season, adding that Tinubu would remain engaged with government affairs while abroad.

Tinubu begins three-week leave

President Bola Tinubu has begun a three-week vacation as part of his annual leave.

This was disclosed in a statement by the Special Adviser on Information and Strategy, Bayo Onanuga, on Sunday.

The statement said Tinubu will depart Abuja on Sunday (today) for Europe. His first stop will be London, United Kingdom.

According to the statement, President Tinubu is expected to return home after the working vacation to join the hectic campaigns for the January 2027 election.

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NELFUND, South-East, The Hypocrisy And Nonchalance

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By Samson Ezea

The Nigeria Education Loan Fund (NELFUND), the Federal Government of Nigeria’s institutional framework for providing interest-free student loans to Nigerians who need financial support to access higher education and skills training, is a welcome development, no matter how one views or interprets it, particularly as it concerns the South-East region and the manner in which the scheme has fared in the region.

It is an axiomatic fact that, for many years, the cost of tertiary education in Nigeria has created significant financial barriers for students, particularly those from low-income families. The idea behind a national student-loan system was to ensure that lack of money would not prevent a qualified Nigerian from pursuing higher education.
Before NELFUND, Nigeria had the Nigerian Education Bank framework, but the Federal Government eventually moved towards a dedicated student-loan system.

The major objective was to create a sustainable mechanism through which students could obtain financial support for their education and repay the loans later when they become economically productive.

The major breakthrough came under President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in June 2023, when the Student Loans (Access to Higher Education) Act, 2023 was enacted to provide interest-free loans to Nigerians seeking higher education. President Tinubu signed the original Student Loan Bill into law on June 12, 2023, amidst commendations, mixed feelings and scepticism, all of which were expected whenever governments introduce new laws, programmes and policies.

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The policy initiative was presented as a means of ensuring that no Nigerian student would be forced to abandon tertiary education simply because of an inability to pay school fees.
However, the 2023 law was not immediately operationalised in its original form. Several issues were identified concerning governance, eligibility, administration, application procedures, funding and repayment. This eventually led to the 2024 repeal and re-enactment of the law, giving birth to NELFUND as we know it today.

The Federal Government and the National Assembly subsequently reviewed the 2023 legislation, and President Tinubu signed the Student Loans (Access to Higher Education) (Repeal and Re-enactment) Act, 2024, on April 3, 2024. This is the legislation that established NELFUND in its current institutional form.

The 2024 Act introduced several significant changes, including:
Establishing NELFUND as a body corporate capable of entering contracts and legally administering and recovering student loans.
Giving NELFUND responsibility for providing loans for tuition, institutional charges and upkeep.
Extending support beyond conventional university education to vocational and skills-acquisition programmes.
Removing the previous family-income threshold.
Removing the requirement for a guarantor.
Creating a Board of Directors and a professional management structure headed by a Managing Director.
Establishing a funding mechanism that includes 1% of taxes, levies and duties collected by the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) accruing to the Federal Government.

From Legislation to Actual Student Loans

Following the 2024 Act, NELFUND moved from being primarily a legislative framework to an operational institution. The NELFUND student-loan portal was launched on May 24, 2024, and applications subsequently commenced for students in tertiary institutions across Nigeria. Loan disbursement commenced in February 2025, according to NELFUND’s official timeline.

The fundamental philosophy behind the scheme is simple: access to education first, repayment later. Rather than requiring students to have the money before entering or remaining in school, NELFUND provides financial support to enable eligible students to continue their education. The loans are interest-free, with repayment generally commencing when beneficiaries become gainfully employed and begin earning an income.
As beneficial, helpful and laudable as this policy programme is, particularly considering its potential to promote human capital development and unhindered access to higher education, it appears not to have received the level of awareness, campaigns, sensitisation and enlightenment it deserves across the country, especially in the South-East region.

This raises serious questions about the role of political leaders, clergymen, academics, parents, state governors, heads of tertiary institutions and National Assembly members in ensuring that their people take advantage of opportunities provided by the Federal Government.

Whether this situation is intentional, conspiratorial, hypocritical, political or simply an act of negligence is, to me, immaterial. What matters is that the money available under the scheme is Nigerian money. It is our collective patrimony. It does not belong to any particular geopolitical zone, political party, religion or ethnic group. It is our national cake, and every qualified Nigerian student has a legitimate right to benefit from it.

Why, therefore, is access to NELFUND apparently so low among students in South-East tertiary institutions?
Why are some South-East leaders, heads of tertiary institutions, lecturers, parents, clergymen and even students not talking sufficiently about the scheme or encouraging their children, wards and relatives to take advantage of it?
I know many people may wonder why I am writing in this manner. I am doing so out of genuine shock, disappointment and concern over what I witnessed recently.

I was privileged to accompany my boss, Senator Ikeje Asogwa, and other members of the National Assembly Joint Senate Committee on Tertiary Institutions and TETFund and the House of Representatives Committee on Student Loans, Scholarships and Higher Education Financing to the South-East National Sensitisation Programme on the Nigerian Education Loan Fund (NELFUND) at the Moot Auditorium, University of Nigeria, Enugu Campus (UNEC).
The event brought together heads and leaders of tertiary institutions in the South-East, undergraduates, NELFUND officials and other stakeholders.

It was an incisive, interactive, expository, informative and revealing engagement.
What shocked me most was the revelation by one of the South-East senators, Senator Tony Nwoye, representing Anambra North Senatorial District, that the South-East region reportedly ranks lowest among Nigeria’s six geopolitical zones in the number of students accessing the NELFUND student loan.

According to the figures presented by Senator Nwoye and attributed to NELFUND, the reported figures were:
North-West — 450,000 beneficiaries
North-East — 378,103
South-West — 360,000
North-Central — 324,908
South-South — 198,000
South-East — 108,000

If these figures are accurate, then the situation is not only disappointing, but also calls for urgent intervention.
Senator Nwoye, visibly concerned by the development, challenged heads of tertiary institutions, clergymen, parents and students to embrace the policy. He reminded stakeholders that the fund belongs to Nigerians and is not the property of any political party, religion or ethnic group.His frustration was palpable.

Also speaking, the Chairman of the Senate Committee on Tertiary Institutions and NELFUND, Senator Dandutse Muntari Mohammed, appealed to stakeholders and students to embrace the scheme. He also disclosed that, as part of efforts to ensure adequate funding for NELFUND, l that proceeds from recovered assets and unclaimed dividends, among other sources, be channelled towards funding student loans.

I was deeply shocked by these revelations.
What is even more troubling is that I have yet to see any compelling reason why the South-East, despite its reputation for educational advancement and high literacy levels, should be at the bottom of the table in accessing an educational opportunity of this nature.

Since that event, I have been trying to understand why awareness and access to NELFUND appear to be relatively poor in the South-East, despite the potential relief the scheme can provide to students, parents and guardians.
I recently spoke with a cousin of mine studying at a federal university in the North-West. I asked him if he knew about NELFUND.
He said yes.
I asked whether he had ever benefited from it.
He told me that he had applied once and received upkeep support, while his institution’s charges were also covered, amounting to about ₦490,000 in total.
I then asked him why he had stopped accessing the scheme.
His response surprised me.
He said he was afraid that having a student loan could somehow affect his ability to travel overseas after graduation or create an obligation that could “hang over” him.

I had to educate him that such a fear, without evidence, should not prevent him from accessing a legitimate educational support programme. I asked him whether he believed that all the thousands of Nigerian students benefiting from NELFUND would automatically be prevented from travelling abroad after graduation.

The fundamental point is that a loan is a financial obligation, not a criminal record.
Students should, however, understand the terms and conditions of any loan they accept and comply with the applicable repayment requirements after graduation and employment.

I reminded him that the fund is Nigerian money, not APC money, not President Tinubu’s personal money, and certainly not Hausa, Igbo or Yoruba money.

It is a national student-loan programme established to support eligible Nigerian students.
There are undoubtedly many students across the South-East who may harbour similar misconceptions or simply lack adequate information about the scheme.

That is why our parents, political leaders, traditional and religious leaders, academics, university administrators, media practitioners and other stakeholders must urgently take the message of NELFUND to every corner of the region.

The politics and hypocrisy surrounding the avoidance or discouragement of our students from accessing NELFUND cannot benefit anyone.
It is time for the South-East to wake up from this apparent slumber and face reality.
We must stop viewing every policy of the Federal Government through the prism of partisan politics.
If a policy is good for our people, we should embrace it. If it has shortcomings, we should demand improvements. If there are legitimate concerns, we should raise them constructively.

But rejecting an opportunity simply because it was introduced by a government or political party we do not support is not leadership; it is self-inflicted deprivation.
NELFUND should not be regarded as an APC programme or a Bola Tinubu programme. It is a national policy designed to address a national problem.
The South-East cannot, on the one hand, complain about marginalisation and lack of opportunities while, on the other hand, failing to take advantage of opportunities that are already available to its students.
There is nothing wrong with scrutinising government policies. There is everything wrong with allowing political resentment, misinformation or indifference to prevent our children from accessing legitimate opportunities.
NELFUND is also, in many respects, more accessible than traditional scholarship programmes, which often have limited slots and stringent eligibility requirements.

A student-loan programme can potentially reach a much larger number of students who may otherwise struggle to finance their education.
And let us be honest: even in many developed countries, students take educational loans to finance their studies and repay them after graduation when they secure employment. What should matter is whether the terms are fair, transparent and sustainable.
South-East governors, members of the National Assembly, commissioners, local government leaders, university administrators, lecturers, religious leaders, traditional rulers, media organisations, student unions, parents and community organisations must intensify sensitisation about NELFUND.

Our universities and other eligible institutions should not merely wait for students to stumble upon information about the scheme. They should actively educate them about the application process, eligibility requirements, benefits and repayment obligations.
Our political leaders should put politics aside, when the welfare and future of our children are involved.
Our parents should ask questions.
Our students should seek information.
Our media should report the opportunities and also interrogate the challenges.
And our religious and community leaders should use their enormous platforms to educate young Nigerians.

The objective should not be to promote President Tinubu or any political party. The objective should be to ensure that no qualified South-East student misses an educational opportunity, because of ignorance, misinformation or unnecessary political sentiment.
The South-East has historically distinguished itself through education, enterprise, intellectual capacity and an extraordinary determination to succeed. It would therefore be a painful contradiction for a region celebrated for valuing education to rank last in accessing a national student-loan programme designed to make education more accessible.

We cannot continue to complain that our people are being excluded, while simultaneously failing to take advantage of opportunities available to them.
Education is too important to become a casualty of politics.
If NELFUND has weaknesses, let us expose them and demand reforms. If there are legitimate concerns about repayment, let us seek clarification and better safeguards. If students are inadequately informed, let us educate them. But let us not reject the opportunity itself because of who introduced it.
The question should no longer be “Who introduced NELFUND?”
The question should be:
“How can our children benefit from it?”
The fund belongs to Nigeria. The opportunity belongs to Nigerian students. The future belongs to our children.

Let us therefore put aside hypocrisy, misinformation, partisan sentiments and nonchalance.
Let the South-East wake up. Let our leaders speak. Let our institutions sensitise. Let our parents encourage. Let our students apply.
Because when politics ends, it is our children who will have to live with the consequences of the opportunities we either embraced or rejected today.
NELFUND is not about APC. It is not about PDP. It is not about North or South. It is about Nigerian students, Nigerian education and the future of Nigeria.

Our children must not be allowed to lose tomorrow because their parents and leaders failed to recognise the opportunity available to them today.

Ezea, Director, Media To Senator Ikeje Asogwa writes from Independence Layout, Enugu State

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Niger junta regains control as gunshots, explosions rock Presidential Palace, Airport in failed coup

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•  Russia helps junta to retake military base – Report

Niger Republic’s ruling junta on Saturday said that it “gradually took back control” after mutinying soldiers attacked key sites around the capital including the presidential palace, after the city was rocked by hours of heavy gunfire.

Reports claimed the members of Niger’s presidential guard, helped by Russian forces, recaptured a key military base in the capital, Niamey, from the mutinous soldiers.

“The presidential guard has retaken control of the air base with the help of the Russians,” a diplomatic source told AFP.

The source added that several of the rebelling soldiers had been killed.

As the clashes broke out, soldiers blocked access to the presidential palace and national television, with Tele Sahel going off air for just over an hour yesterday morning before being restored around 10:00 am (0900 GMT).

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“There was an attempt by insurgents from the Nigerien armed forces to enter the presidential palace,” a security source told AFP, adding that “they were pushed back by the presidential guard”.

Niger’s Defence Minister, General Salifou Mody, in a statement read on state television, said a group of soldiers held some troops hostage at a barracks in Niamey and opened fire at “certain sensitive sites” in the city, without naming them.

“The prompt reaction of the defence and security forces made it possible to contain this heated moment and they gradually took back control of these sites,” he added.

Mody’s statement called on the people to “remain calm and freely go about their business”.

Niger has been ruled for three years by a military junta that has struggled to contain jihadist violence flaring in the West African country for around a decade.
An African diplomat in Niamey said for now the presidential guard was still loyal to ruler General Abdourahamane Tiani.

“Everything is calm again, we can’t hear any more shooting,” a resident of the Yantala district close to the presidential palace said late Saturday morning.
Gunfire began in the early hours of Saturday morning, prompting the military to issue a statement on its social media pages urging people to stay calm and “avoid sharing unverified information”.
“Our defence and security forces have been mobilised for the defence of the homeland,” the statement said.

One local resident told AFP that there was “heavy gunfire and explosions” at Base 101 in Niamey, a claim confirmed by several other witnesses.

The first shots were heard at about 1:00 am local time and continued until daybreak, according to a video published by a local journalist filming the area around the airport.

Another local resident said he heard “bursts of gunfire” at about 7:00 am local time, adding that the weapons heard” are not the kind that terrorists on motorbikes can carry”.

“I went to get credit for my phone. I saw a military vehicle heading towards the base that had to turn back,” he said.

Another resident west of Niamey said he heard sporadic small arms fire at about 5:00 am.
Videos online showed armoured vehicles deployed to reinforce the neighbourhood near the airport.

Niamey airport has been targeted twice this year by jihadists, first by the Islamic State in the Sahel (EIS) in January, then in late June by its rival, the Group for the Support of Islam and Muslims (JNIM), the Sahel branch of Al-Qaeda.

The jihadist groups not only target civilians and the military but are also struggling for dominance over each other in the Sahel, and especially in Niger.

Twenty assailants were killed and four soldiers wounded in the January assault, authorities said at the time.

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