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Presidential poll: Governance Index projects victory dance for Obidatti, Obidients!

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From Chuks Collins, Awka

The Labour Party(LP) presidential candidate -Peter Obi been projected again to win this weekend’s presidential election.

The Governance Index, an independent consulting firm presented the score sheet to group under the aegis of Peter Obi Support Network(POSN)on its analysis and projections for Nigeria’s 2023 presidential election having, according to it put relevant variables and indices into consideration.

Considering which of the candidates would win in certain areas and by what margin at a World Press Conference in Abuja today, Mazi Tochukwu Ezeoke also used the opportunity to address what he described as the harmful propaganda that the Peoples Democratic Party(PDP), and the ruling All Progressives Congress(APC), have been dishing out against the Labour Party (LP) and her presidential candidate -Mr Peter Obi, Ezeoke said, “As we all know, since the advent of this democratic dispensation, the two major political parties have consistently disregarded the people’s opinion.
We have witnessed growing discontent and the efforts by our decadent political leaders to reinforce ethnic and religious bigotry. All of us are disillusioned that our country has sadly been turned into a killing field where human lives are of no more valuable, a nation that is now rated as the headquarters of poverty despite enormous human and material resources that God has generously bestowed on this nation.

“These are all factors that will swing 2023 outcomes, and now the question is: How will the mainstream politicians handle their imminent defeat?

” Today, we are alarmed to witness the leadership of the ruling party and their restless attacks on President Mohammadu Buhari for the recently promulgated federal government policies. We are also alarmed to find the official spokesman of Bola Tinubu, the APC presidential candidate, and a serving Governor of the ruling party, openly threatening a coup deta’t. The PDP today is also riddled with crisis, all these developments make us wonder whether these two parties that have brought the country to its knees will allow a free and fair election and whether they will accept the result of the presidential election when they suffered election defeat this weekend.
Faced with certain electoral defeat, the APC and the PDP have resorted to propaganda, political bribery and spreading fake news and unfounded information against the labour party to help their demoralized supporters.

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“It is now obvious that Labour Party is the party to beat and so their masters have seen the truth and are tactically submitting. Atiku in his broadcast is now saying that people should go out and vote peacefully even if they don’t want to vote for him. That is better.
Meanwhile the Agbado master and his old naira notes delusional governors are now crying for the election to be postponed because defeat is staring them in the face.
These failed politicians have failed to read the signs of times, that a new generation of Nigerians hewed in the blood of innocent Nigerians over the years of their mindless misrule have risen to take back their country and will not stop until the day a new Nigeria is born; the 2023 elections are just the beginning.

“The desperate wicked looters of our commonwealth are no longer saying that the Labour Party has no structure because the Peter Obi Support Network [POSN] and many other support groups, including the coalition for Peter Obi have created a massive network of Peter Obi supporters (Obidients)in every nook and cranny of Nigeria.

WE ARE THE STRUCTURE!
However, taking you down memory lane of the emergence of POSN, the network was formed in December 2018 because of our yearning for a better nation, where everyone can live and have peace of mind and excel in his chosen field of human endeavour.

Then on April 25, 2022, POSN was formally inaugurated by Mr Peter Obi, in Abuja to work and ensure that the former governor of Anambra state is elected as President of Federal Republic of Nigeria come February 25, 2023.

We are proud therefore to announce that the Obidient Movement that sprang out of these early efforts eventually spread like wildfire across the country.

POSN has so far established Functional Network in all 36 states and FCT; set up very functional Diaspora chapters in over fifteen(15)countries overseas, and recruited and submitted about 50,000 thousand Polling Unit Monitors for the 2023 elections.

The support network had also organized regional conferences in Jos, Plateau State; Kaduna in Kaduna State, and Asaba, Delta State. Its noteworthy that POSN recruited and trained about five thousand (5000) LGA and Ward coordinators on mobilizations and sensitization operations.

Equally, the network had also partnered with the Diaspora Medics-4-Good Governance [DM4GG] to organize medical outreaches in flood-ravaged areas of the country.

Under this partnership we are this day executing grassroot mobilisation programmes in Kano, Taraba, Kaduna, Benue, Katsina, Nasarawa and Bauchi states. POSN is currently partnering with Women for Peter Obi [WPO] to mobilize voters with campaign materials in hard-to-reach areas in remote villages nationwide.
According to Mazi Ezeoke, “we have also aided in raising substantial amount for the LP campaign. We Printed and distributed over two million campaign materials for sensitization and mobilization across the Country.

“We initiated a novel project titled “Sponsor your ward project”, which aided individuals to take ownership of their political wards, and sponsor ward activities and political engagements in their various wards through our network of Local Government coordinators and Ward coordinators. These have helped in pushing the Peter Obi’s redemption Gospel deeper down the grassroots.

Our decision to support Peter Obi is as a result of the realisation that the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) and main opposition party, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), do not care about the ravaging insecurity and poverty that has bedevilled every part of our nation.

All they care about is to enrich themselves, their families, and cronies. They have turned Nigeria to personal estate where they can do whatever they like with the lives over the 200 million Nigerians without any repercussion.

THE MAN PETER OBI
While throwing more light on the man, Peter Obi, Mazi Ezeoke on behalf of POSN said, “..the international businessman turned politician came into the political space of Anambra state when the state was in political bondage to the “godfathers”. After a protracted legal tussle that lasted about three years, he finally broke the shackles that had held the state in bondage. From that moment on, he returned and restored Anambra to a peaceful and prosperous state.

We therefore strongly believe that Mr Obi has the Capacity, Competence, and Character to break the political elites’ criminal structures of greed and corruption if elected President of Federal Republic of Nigeria.

Highlighting some key points of his tenure as governor of Anambra State, the POSN reiterated that it was under his watch that Anambra became the first State to commence Sub-Sovereign Wealth savings, the first of its kind under any government in Sub-Saharan Africa.

*The Nigerian Debt Management Office (DMO) rated Anambra as the least indebted state in Nigeria. Despite visible and measurable achievements recorded in various sectors, the State under him did not borrow or raise bonds for her various projects.

*The state also entered strategic partnerships in the health sector. Through the partnership his government funded the transformation of -: A: Iyienu Hospital, Ogidi; B: Our Lady of Lourdes Hospital, Ihiala; C: St Charles Borromeo Hospital, Onitsha; D: Holy Rosary Hospital, Waterside, Onitsha; and E: St. Joseph Hospital, Adazi-Nnukwu.

*His government also built the Joseph Nwilo Heart Centre in St. Joseph, Adazi-Nnukwu, where heart operations are now being performed.

*His government won the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (1 million dollars) as the best-performing state in immunisation in the South-East.

*The state was the first to procure and distribute more than 30,000 computers to secondary schools, including 22,500 from HP.

*Anambra State Government under Peter Obi provided Microsoft Academies, and internet access to more than 500 secondary school.

*More than 700 buses were provided to secondary schools in the State by his government, and many other achievements too numerous to mention here.

The POSN spokesman disclosed that it was why “we the Obidients have come together across the globe to put our resources together and actualize the Peter Obi presidency to rescue the Nigerian nation from an “intensive care unit” that it found itself under the administration of President Muhammadu Buhari to prevent Buhari from handing the nation over to another geriatric someone that will supervise the “burial of the nation”.

To ensure victory for Labour Party’s Peter Obi and Datti Baba-Ahmed, we have taken the good news of his forthcoming presidency to 774 Local Governments of the Federation, and we can feel the pain of the people as we moved round the country.

Frankly speaking, Nigerians are tired of the APC and its siamese twin, the PDP. The nation’s 200 million population is tired of insecurity, abject poverty, poor health facilities, youth unemployment, etc in the midst of plenty bestowed on us by God Almighty.

Therefore, POSN wishes to tell Nigerians that their reproach and shame is about to come to an end this Saturday, and for all patriotic electorate to take their destiny in their hands and vote massively for LP, for Peter Obi.

I hereby present to you the Governance Index projections for the 2023 presidency: (Governance Index is a consulting firm hired by POSN to strategy and analysis).

Official Projections of the 2023 Nigeria Presidential Election

Nigeria is the most populous nation on the African continent with an estimated population of over 213 million people. Nigeria doubles as the largest black nation globally and her territory hosts some of the most ancient evidence of human civilization. Not having a political history without turbulence, the world looks on to Nigeria as she attempts to advance into the 7th electoral cycle since the commencement of her fourth republic in 1999.

Governance Index has conducted a series of voter demographic analysis, historical election result analysis, opinion polls as well as current political sentiment analysis between May 2022 and February 2023 to gauge the mood of the Nigerian electorate and determine the voting directions across the various states and geopolitical zones. These surveys captured people in rural, semi-urban and urban dwellings across the country.

While voter behaviour was not seen to have changed significantly, the most notable observations will be a shift in the direction of voting across the various voting segments, the impact of technology and decisions of the mainstream political parties during primary elections. This is indicative of an unexpected outcome in the results of the 2023 general elections.
The biggest potential gainers will be the new entrants; a bloc of electorates who are determined to challenge the mainstream political actors.
Can they withstand the last-minute political upheavals and make this happen?

Leading Political Parties, Candidates and their Running Mates
Party Name
Abbreviation
Presidential Candidate
Vice Presidential Candidate
All Progressives Congress
APC
Bola Ahmed Tinubu
Kashim Shettima

Labour Party
LP
Peter Gregory Onwubuasi Obi
Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed

New Nigeria People Party
NNPP
Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso
Isaac Idahosa

People Democratic Party
PDP
Atiku Abubakar
Ifeanyi Arthur Okowa

Projections of Popular Vote Distribution Among the 4 Leading Political Parties
Party
Projected Votes Obtained
Percentage of Total Votes
APC
11,200,590
30%
LP
14,801,944
40%
NNPP
2,203,206
6%
PDP
8,718,396
24%
Total
36,924,137
100%

Projections of how the leading parties meet the 25% requirement in 24 states & FCT
Party
States with 25% requirement
APC
22
LP
25
NNPP
1
PDP
18

Projections of the Percentage of Popular Votes Obtained by the Parties in the Geopolitical Zones.

Geopolitical Zone
APC
LP
NNPP
PDP

South East
4%
91.42%
0.84%
3.74%

South South
16%
68.6%
0.73%
14.67%

South West
64.5%
25%
0.83%
9.67%

North Central
31%
33.57%
4.71%
30.71%

North East
33.17%
23.67%
5.5%
37.67%

North West
30.29%
15.86%
13.29%
40.57%

Geopolitical Zone
APC
LP
NNPP
PDP

South East
166,516
4,024,215
35,853
160,748
South South
839,783
3,962,072
40,715
749,535
South West
4,037,771
2,054,062
92,126
751,585
North Central
1,746,183
2,102,154
260,868
1,769,079
North East
1,725,683
1,159,046
270,613
1,896,412
North West
2,684,655
1,500,395
1,503,030
3,391,038

Geopolitical Zone
Registered Voters
Projected Voters Turnout
Projected Accredited Voters
South East
10,987,738
39.90%
4,387,332
South South
14,440,209
38.33%
5,592,106
South West
17,932,586
40.00%
6,935,543
North Central
15,335,114
38.36%
5,878,284
North East
12,547,855
40.17%
5,051,753
North West
22,278,770
40.29%
9,079,118

93,522,272
39.48%
36,924,137
APC

LP

NNPP

PDP
Political Party
Flag Bearer
Home Geopolitical Zone
Projected Votes obtained in Home Geopolitical Zone
Projected Votes Obtained Nationwide
Percentage of Votes obtained from Home base
APC
Bola Ahmed Tinubu
South West
4,037,771
11,200,590
36%
LP
Peter Gregory Onwubuasi Obi
South East
4,024,215
14,801,944
27%
NNPP
Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso
North West
1,503,030
2,203,206
68%
PDP
Atiku Abubakar
North East
1,896,412
8,718,396
22%

From the above projections, it could be seen that Nigeria’s emancipation is coming! Peter Obi is coming! And a vote for Peter Obi is a vote for prosperity, a vote for security, a vote for employment, a vote for good governance, a vote for good roads, a vote for quality educational system, a vote for quality health care/facilities, a vote against nepotism and a vote to destroy the structures of corruption and mindless “system” that has held the country down for decades!

POSN therefore urge Nigerians to come out en masse to vote for Peter Obi this Saturday, February 25,2023. It’s the pathway to the promised land.
Don’t vote for anyone that will supervise the complete “burial of the nation” that their system has already put in an “intensive care unit’ under President Muhammadu Buhari.

Please let us all stand up, take action, move out on Saturday and vote for restoration of life to the nation, vote to stop the years of bloodshed, vote to stop the mindless looting, vote to stop square peg in round hole, vote to stop official insincerity! Vote Peter Obi, vote LP.

Politics

2027: Thousands defy downpour to rally for Gov. Mbah’s re-election

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Enugu Gov, Dr Peter Mbah
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…Insist 8-year tenure tradition stands

Thousands of supporters from Nkanu East Local Government Area of Enugu State on Friday defied a heavy downpour at the Amankanu Development Centre, Owo, to declare their unalloyed support for the re-election of Governor Peter Mbah in 2027.

The crowd, which surged for the grand finale of inauguration of Ward and Local Government Coordinators of the Tomorrow is Here Movement across the 17 local government areas of the state, described their action as a clear demonstration of confidence in the governor’s performance across key sectors, saying Enugu State had never had it so good.

They said the tradition where each governor got eight years on the saddle would continue with Mbah, whom they said his achievements in less than three years were towering.

The supporters said their resolve was anchored on what they termed visible transformation in infrastructure, effective security response system, education, healthcare, human capital development as well as the robust revamping of moribund assets under the present administration.

Welcoming the crowd, the Coordinator of the Tomorrow Is Here Movement, Alhaji Friday Sani Nnaji, expressed delight at the massive turnout, noting that the it reflected people’s confidence in the governor’s leadership.

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He urged them to sustain the support and ensure they obtained their Permanent Voter Cards to secure victory in 2027.

“There is no better alternative to Governor Mbah,” he said, assuring that the Movement would continue to mobilise support across the state.

The Attorney General and Commissioner for Justice, Barr. Osinachi Nnajieze, described the gathering as a consolidation of existing support rather than just an attempt to win new followers.

He noted that the administration’s projects were evident across communities, adding that the government would continue to deliver more dividends of democracy.

He expressed optimism that the governor would record even higher votes in the coming election.

Similarly, the Commissioner for Lands, Hon. Chimaobi Okorie, said the scale of infrastructure development under Mbah was unprecedented, citing the construction of roads, bridges, and other critical projects.

He described the governor as “an inspirational leader whose work had earned the trust of the people,” expressing confidence that residents would overwhelmingly reciprocate his uncommon transformation of the state in 2027.

Traditional rulers also endorsed the governor’s continuity. Chairman of Nkanu East Council of Traditional Rulers, Igwe Hyacinth Edeani, who spoke on behalf of the royal fathers, said the governor had exceeded expectations, noting that improved road networks had enhanced connectivity across communities. He called on residents to sustain their support.

“Before now, there was no road from this venue, Owo, to Ubahu, Amankanu, Neke, and Ikem. But today, a world class, virgin dual carriageway runs from here in Owo all the way to Neke with over 30 bridges and culverts, and it’s connecting our brothers from the northern senatorial district.

“Before now, we in this part of Nkanu East must go through Enugu East, Enugu North, Enugu South and Nkanu West LGA to be able to access our Council Headquarters at Amagunze. Today, we have a brand new Amechi Idodo to Amagunze road with three bridges,” Edeani added.

In the same vein, the Patron, Enugu State Council of Traditional Rulers, Igwe Abel Nwobodo said the people of the state had already resolved to back the governor’s re-election, describing him as a beacon of progress and hope.

Convener of G17 for Peter Mbah, Hon. Chinedu Mbah, as well as founder of Solidarity Alliance for Peter Mbah, Hon Paul Nnajiofor, stated that the governor’s achievements had set him apart, adding that all parts of the state had benefitted from his leadership.

According to them, although the governor’s re-election appeared certain, stakeholders would continue to mobilise support to ensure a resounding victory.

Also speaking, the Chairman of the council area, Hon. Sydney Edeh, said the governor had lived up to his promise to transform the state, urging continued support to enable him complete his development agenda.

Commending the Tomorrow Is Here leadership, Chairman of the All Progressive Congress in the state, Dr. Martin Chukwuweike, said the group is known for its grassroots mobilisation, declaring that the governor’s re-election would be a walkover and that there would be no vacancy in Lion Building in 2027.

The member representing Nkanu East Constituency, Hon. Okechukwu Mbah, said he was deeply impressed by the level of development across the state, noting that the governor’s projects had significantly improved the lives of the people.

Presenting gifts to the winners of the open quizzes conducted among citizens at the rally ground, the Deputy Speaker and Vice Chairman of the Movement, Hon Ezenta Ezeani, said the mammoth crowd had challenged them from the Nsukka zone to further mobilize for the re-election of the governor, stressing that it’s going to be a competition of which local government and political bloc deliver more votes to the governor.

On his part, the Convener of the Tomorrow Is Here Movement, Hon. Tony Okonkwo, expressed appreciation for the widespread support the group had received across the state during its inauguration of coordinators.

He declared that the enthusiasm shown by the people reflected their belief in the governor’s vision and performance, adding that the movement would continue to expand its reach.

Okonkwo highlighted key achievements of the administration, including extensive road construction, establishment of smart schools, upgrading of healthcare facilities, investments in security and economic growth and the revitalization of moribund industries that have continued to provide employment.

He described the projects as innovative and far-reaching, stressing that they had set a new standard for governance in the state.

The highlight of the event was the inauguration of ward coordinators of the movement, who were charged to take the message of continuity to every household.

Wheelchairs as well as scholarships were also presented to persons living with disabilities from Igboeze South Local Government Area and other beneficiaries, underscoring the movement’s commitment to inclusiveness.

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Atiku says 2027 presidential election will be his last outing

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Atiku Abubakar
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The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) 2023 presidential candidate, Atiku Abubakar, has stated that the 2027 presidential election will be his final outing, citing his age as the primary reason.

The former Vice President made this commitment on Wednesday during an appearance as a guest on the Arise Television programme, Prime Time.

Speaking during the interview, he said, “The 2027 election will be my last outing.”

When asked why Nigerians should vote for him after so many attempts, especially considering his age, Atiku explained that since Nigeria faces a leadership crisis, he represents both the past and the future of the nation.

He recommended leadership training for young Nigerians, asserting that the country was in dire need of it.

Atiku has made multiple attempts to become Nigeria’s president since entering partisan politics.

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He took his first shot at the presidency in 1993 during the Social Democratic Party (SDP) primaries, before stepping down for the late Moshood Abiola.

He later ran in 2007 under the Action Congress (AC) banner, losing to the late President Umaru Musa Yar’Adua.

In 2011, the former Vice President contested the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) primaries but lost the nomination to former President Goodluck Jonathan.

He subsequently returned to the PDP to contest the 2019 presidential election, where he lost to former President Muhammadu Buhari.

Most recently, in 2023, he again emerged as the PDP candidate but lost to President Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC).

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ADC won’t surrender to tyranny — David Mark

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• ADC will win 2027 election —Atiku

•We need viable candidate to defeat Tinubu —Amaechi

•Nigeria heading to disaster with huge debts —Obi

•Renewed Hope is a scam —Aregbesola

NATIONAL Chairman of the opposition African Democratic Congress (ADC), Senator David Mark, on Tuesday, said the party would not surrender to attempts being made to silence the voice of the people and destroy democracy in the country.

He stated this while speaking at the eighth national convention of the ADC held at Rainbow Events Centre, Abuja.

Mark said since the beginning of the current journey, the ADC had faced many challenges and hurdles as well as fierce and unprecedented betrayal.

He noted that recent developments involving the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) have raised fundamental questions about the process that govern our democracy.

However, he told those who orchestrated the obstacles before the ADC that they have not weakened them but rather welded them together, stressing that “Every attempt to suppress this party has only deepened the resolve of our members, widened our coalition, and reminded Nigerians why a strong opposition is not optional; it is essential to democracy’s survival.”

He said, “Forces that feared what a united ADC represents came for us; through the courts, through institutions, through bureaucratic obstruction. They sought to stop this convention from happening. They removed our names from official portals. They denied us preferred venues. They deployed every instrument available to them to ensure that you – the delegates, the members, the owners of this party – would never gather. But we are here.

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“At our recent press briefing, we made it clear that the integrity of democratic institutions must be protected at all times. We also made it clear that in an ever shrinking democratic space that is orchestrated by those in the ruling party, the ADC will not bow, we will not cower, and we will not retreat.

“Dear party members and leaders, let me remind all of us that strong political movements are not built in moments of ease and in comfort. They are built in times like this, when a broken nation cries out for change and the people look for those who would lead with commitment and honesty.

“We will not surrender, because what is at stake is not just about the ADC or the opposition. It is the very survival of our democracy. To surrender therefore is to yield to tyranny and therefore become complicit in the destruction of our democracy.

“And let us here be the answer to every doubt, every threat, and every shenanigan designed to keep Nigeria trapped in a one party future. The ADC cannot be wished away. The ADC cannot be litigated into silence. The ADC belongs to the Nigerian people – and the Nigerian people have spoken by showing up today.”

Mark, who said he accepted the responsibility to lead the party with an unshakable commitment to reposition the ADC as the platform through which Nigeria will be rescued and rebuilt, described the convention as one of the most significant gatherings in recent Nigerian democratic history because it represented the unyielding survival of opposition democracy in Nigeria.

In his welcome address, the Chairman of the National Convention Central Coordination Committee, and a former governor of Cross River State, Senator Liyel Imoke, urged party leaders and members to be united and resilient amid escalating political pressure.

He described the gathering as defining moment, noting that the convention represented not just a meeting but a convergence of purpose to rebuild Nigeria.

ADC will win 2027 election – Atiku

Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar has expressed optimism that the opposition African Democratic Congress (ADC) will win the forthcoming general elections in 2027.

The Waziri Adamawa stressed the need for all leaders in the party to bring genuine change to tackle all challenges facing the country.

He said, “Every issue, every challenge, every problem confronting us as a country and as a people has been stated on this platform “What I would like to appeal to Nigerians, and particularly members of the ADC, is to make sure that this time around, we really need to change the situation in the country.

“I remember when the APC was being formed, the entire political leadership in this country came to my house. They said, “If you don’t come into the APC, this is not going to be possible.” They literally compelled me to join the APC. Only for us to enter the APC, our economy is gone, our sovereignty is gone, our security is gone, our education is gone, our infrastructure is gone. The healthcare is gone.

“Now, people like me, we must rise and make sure that there is change, genuine change, a serious change to rectify all these challenges that are happening in the country. I am in this game. We are going to win. Because of you, the young men and women, our children and our grandchildren, this country has been good to us.

“And we don’t believe that this country is being good to the current generation, to the youth, to the women, and to the future of this country. That is why we are here today”

ADC needs viable candidate to defeat Tinubu – Amaechi

Also speaking, a former Minister of Transportation, Rotimi Amaechi, said only a viable candidate can defeat Tinubu in 2027.

He said the economic situation in the country was so bad that the citizens might find it difficult to buy fuel and eat food with the collection of annual company tax.

He said, “June is here. When they start collecting annual company tax, you will see what will happen. Nobody can buy petrol. Nobody can feed. Let me repeat for those who attack me. If you Nigerians are not hungry, I am. You can attack me as much as you want. The situation is bad. It’s terrible.

“And if you think President Tinubu will give you power, you are wasting your time. ADC must come together, decide on a viable candidate. It must be a viable candidate. We did it in APC. When we joined APC, we looked for a viable candidate and we stopped them. No ethnicity, no religion. We are back to square one. It’s ethnicity and religion that brought you here. It’s religion, religion. Today, we are here, no Muslim market, no Christian market. The market is Naira. This is up to you.”

Nigeria heading to disaster with huge debts – Obi

Also speaking, the ADC chieftain and presidential candidate of the Labour Party (LP) in 2023, Peter Obi, underscored the need for unity among critical stakeholders for the sake of the country.

He criticised the government for Nigeria’s ranking in terrorism, increased debts profile, borrowing amidst subsidy removal, and non funding of 2025 budget.

Renewed Hope is a scam – Aregbesola

While presenting the statutory Secretariat Report titled “ADC is Unstoppable because It Is the Son of Nigeria”, the ADC National Secretary and a former Minister of Interior, Rauf Aregbesola, described President Tinubu’s “Renewed Hope” agenda as a scam.

Aregbesola said President Tinubu ought to have stepped aside for failing to provide steady electricity supply. (Tribune)

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