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2023: Obi leads Tinubu, Atiku, Kwankwaso in fresh Anap Poll

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For the second time in four months, another poll concluded in December has shown that the 2023 presidential candidate of the Labour Party, LP, Peter Obi is ahead of the three other frontline candidates.

The poll conducted by NOI Polls Limited and commissioned by Anap Foundation showed that Obi leads Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress, APC; the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar and the New Nigeria People’s Party, NNPP, candidate, Rabiu Kwankwaso.

The Anap Foundation President, Atedo Peterside revealed this known while speaking during a live appearance on Channels Television’s Politics Today programme on Wednesday.

He said the election has moved past a three-horse race, adding that an earlier poll released in September, was a four-horse race.

Peterside said Obi has 23 percent, Tinubu scored 13, Atiku got 10 and Kwankwaso polled 2 percent in the fresh poll released in December.

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His words, “Nobody has gained or lost more than 2, 3 percent. I don’t know whether that is good news or bad news but it is as if nothing has happened fundamentally, no significant shift.”

He further said that mobile phones were the instruments used to conduct the poll because of increased mobile phone penetration in the country, pointing out that a large percentage of people are undecided.

Peterside also noted that the interest level in the next general elections was driven by economic challenges plaguing the nation including, poverty, insecurity, among others, adding further that the appetite of the youths in this election is high and carpeted candidates who have dodged presidential debates.

Anap Foundation had released a similar poll in September in which Obi also led the other 17 candidates in the race for Aso Rock’s top job in 2023.

Peterside’s statement read;

Peter Obi consolidates lead in a Fragmented Presidential Race

December 21, 2022

Ahead of the forthcoming 2023 Presidential elections, a recent nationwide opinion poll commissioned by Anap Foundation and conducted by NOI Polls Limited was concluded in early December 2022. The Poll revealed a significant lead by Mr. Peter Obi of the Labour Party, LP, with Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress, APC, and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) both trailing him. Dr. Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria Peoples Party, NNPP, emerged as the lone outsider.
The results showed a significant lead for Mr. Peter Obi with 23% of voters proposing to vote for him if the presidential election were to be conducted today; and 13% proposing to vote for Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu who fell in second place. Alhaji Abubakar Atiku was third with 10% and Dr. Rabiu Kwankwaso was a distant fourth with 2% of voters proposing to vote for him.
Mr. Peter Obi’s 10%-point lead at this stage is significant, but not sufficient to separate him from a leading pack of candidates scoring 13%, 10% and 2%.
Undecided voters and those who prefer not to reveal their preferred candidate add up to a whopping 29% and 23% respectively. The gender split of undecided voters shows that 38% of women are undecided versus 21% of male voters.
Poll Question: Suppose the presidential election is being conducted today, who are you likely to vote for?
Poll Question: Suppose the presidential election is being conducted today, who are you likely to vote for?
Total (%) Distribution across Geo-Political Zones

Poll Ranking

North    Central North East North West South East South South South West
Peter Obi, LP,  23% 24% 8% 11% 50% 46% 15% 1st

Bola Tinubu, APC, 13% 9% 15% 15% 1% 9% 22% 2nd

Atiku Abubakar, PDP, 10% 8% 23% 17% 1% 3% 4% 3rd

Rabiu Kwankwaso, NNPP, 2% 1% 2% 6% 0% 1% 1% 4th

Undecided 29% 35% 38% 32% 25% 26% 20%
Refused 23% 23% 14% 19% 23% 15% 38%

Total 100%

Source: NOIPolls – December 2022

The percentage of registered voters and/or voters with their permanent voter’s card is as follows in each of the zones – 90% in the North East, 89% in the South West and 88% in the South South. The lowest voter registration percentages were recorded in the North Central with 87%, North West with 86% and the South East with 84%.

The chart below captures the overall position of the four (4) leading Presidential candidates by aggregating and weighing their scores in proportion to population totals across Nigeria based on the findings of our September and December 2022 polls. The percentage of voters refusing to disclose the name of their preferred candidate has increased sharply from 15% to 23% making it difficult for us to ascertain if any of the candidates has picked up significant momentum between September and December 2023.

When asked if religion would affect the choice of respondents, data gathered showed that 15% of the respondents replied in the affirmative to religion influencing their choice of candidates but 81% on the other hand, responded that their choices were not being influenced by religion; in the same vein, 10% responded in the affirmative to ethnicity affecting their choice of candidates while 86% responded that their choices were not influenced by ethnicity.

Furthermore, the data summarizes the top five reasons why voters are more inclined to vote in the forthcoming elections, these include: – The need to tackle insecurity (35%), Economy, 26%, Unemployment, 10%, Poverty alleviation, 7%, and Education, 6%.

71% of the respondents think the Presidential candidates should compulsorily participate in a televised debate and/or town hall meeting, with the debates/town hall meetings spanning across topics like their manifestos, competence checks, and personality recognition amongst others.

It is worthy of note that 73% of those aged 18-25, 82% of those aged 26-35, 85% of those aged 36-45, 86% of those aged 46-60 and 82% of those aged 61+ responded that they would definitely vote in the coming elections. The age groups that expressed the greatest willingness to vote were those between 36-45 and 46-60 years.

The Poll shows that almost 8 in 10 registered voters are absolutely certain that they would be voting in the next presidential election. If they stay committed then we could witness a huge turnout in the February Presidential 2023 elections.

While this Poll result shows some significant trends, it is key to note that the battle ahead lies in the hands of the undecided/swing voters as they would ultimately decide which candidate takes the lead to emerge as the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria in the 2023 presidential elections.

This result was polled from 1,000 respondents; after which Anap Foundation conducted similar polls with a 2,000 and 3,000 respondents sample size, the difference in the results was not significant.

The high percentage of voters (38%) who refused to disclose their preferred candidate in the South West Zone is worrisome. For other zones, those who refused to disclose their preferred candidate ranged from 14-23%. At 38%, the South West figure is an outlier. Historically, an exceedingly high percentage of voters refusing to disclose their preferred candidate is usually associated with perceptions/fears (real or imagined) of possible voter intimidation within a geographical area.

In summary, our December 2022 Polls are inconclusive in terms of establishing a clear winner as the undecided voters, combined with the voters who refused to disclose their preferences, are enough to turn the tables.
However, Anap Foundation has concluded that the trends are clear enough to establish the front-runners and so our subsequent polls will continue to concentrate on the 4 leading candidates only.

Signed:Atedo N A Peterside CON,
President & Founder, Anap Foundation

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2027: APC Chairman Yilwatda Charges North-Central Governors, Guber Candidates to Unite for Tinubu’s Re-election

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APC National Chairman, Prof. Nentawe Goshwe Yilwatda,
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The National Chairman of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Prof. Nentawe Goshwe Yilwatda, has charged APC governors, governorship candidates and party leaders across the North-Central region to unite political stakeholders and mobilise massive support for President Bola Tinubu ahead of the 2027 presidential election.

Yilwatda gave the charge at the APC presidential campaign rally held at Azaria Road Stadium, Jos, Plateau State, where President Tinubu’s campaign train received an enthusiastic reception from party leaders, supporters and residents.

In a statement issued on Saturday by his Special Adviser on Media and Information Strategy, Abimbola Tooki, the APC chairman expressed satisfaction with the large turnout and what he described as renewed unity among party leaders and supporters in Plateau State.

He described the rally as evidence of the party’s growing cohesion and commitment to securing Tinubu’s re-election, urging residents to translate the enthusiasm demonstrated at the event into votes.

Yilwatda insisted that Plateau State must deliver a record-breaking electoral victory for the President, declaring that political leaders in the state were now fully united behind Tinubu.

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He also described the President as a promise keeper who had fulfilled his commitments to Plateau State, arguing that the administration’s performance provided a strong basis for renewed public support.

A major highlight of the rally was the presentation of APC flags to the party’s governorship candidates across the North-Central states, a symbolic exercise aimed at strengthening party unity and consolidating its political structures ahead of the 2027 elections.

Addressing the party’s leadership across the region, Yilwatda specifically urged governors, governorship candidates and other stakeholders to put aside personal interests, reconcile differences and work towards a common political objective.

In Plateau State, he called on party leaders to sustain the unity already achieved and intensify mobilisation for Tinubu and other APC candidates.

He also charged the Benue State Governor and party leaders to harmonise competing interests, unite political stakeholders and mobilise voters for the party’s victory.

For Niger State, the APC chairman expressed confidence that the party’s leadership would use the flag presentation as a rallying point to strengthen unity and secure victory for Tinubu and other candidates.

Similarly, while presenting the party’s flag to its governorship candidate in Nasarawa State, Yilwatda urged him and other party leaders to provide purposeful leadership, unite stakeholders and mobilise support for the President.

He said the party must also work towards greater prosperity, peace and development in the state.

The APC chairman maintained that the North-Central region must approach the forthcoming elections with a common purpose, stressing that political differences and individual ambitions should not undermine the party’s collective interest.

He further directed party structures, elected officials, candidates and grassroots mobilisers to intensify engagements with voters and ensure that the enthusiasm recorded at the Jos rally translates into electoral support across the region.

“Our strength lies in our unity, our strategy is effective mobilisation, and our destination is victory. I therefore charge all our governors, governorship candidates and party leaders across the North-Central to unite every stakeholder in their respective states and work together to deliver maximum votes for President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

“The Jos rally has demonstrated what we can achieve when we stand together. We must sustain this momentum, take our message to every community and ensure that our commitment to the President is reflected in our votes,” he said.

Yilwatda assured APC members and supporters that the party would sustain its mobilisation drive, strengthen its political structures and work collectively towards what he described as a decisive victory for Tinubu and all APC candidates in the 2027 general elections.

The statement was signed by Abimbola Tooki, Special Adviser to the APC National Chairman on Media and Information Strategy, and dated November 14, 2026.

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2027: No Candidate Can Defeat Tinubu, Says Ikedife

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President Bola Tinubu
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• APC chieftain says Igbo presidency ambition must wait, urges South-East to support President’s re-election

The All Progressives Congress (APC) South-East Organising Secretary and member of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s Re-election Campaign Council, Dozie Ikedife Jnr, has declared that no candidate can defeat Tinubu in the 2027 presidential election.

Ikedife also said the South-East’s ambition to produce a Nigerian president must be put on hold, insisting that an Igbo presidency is not politically achievable in 2027.

He made the remarks during an interview at his residence in Nnewi, Anambra State, at the weekend, where he argued that Tinubu had performed sufficiently well to deserve a second term in office.

According to him, the South-East must prioritise political realities and strategic negotiations over emotional considerations in pursuing its presidential ambition.

Quoting Imo State Governor, Hope Uzodimma, Ikedife urged Ndigbo to distinguish between what they desire and what is politically achievable.

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“We desire an Igbo man to be president, but what is realisable today is for Tinubu to go and do his second tenure in office to lead Nigeria from his reforms to the era of prosperity,” he said.

He described it as unrealistic to assume that any presidential candidate could defeat Tinubu in 2027, given what he considered the President’s achievements in office.

“An Igbo man has a serious chance of becoming president, but I don’t see it being achievable in 2027. I respect the fact that an Igbo man is in the race, but we have to find ways to engineer our political movement so that we are not seen as being antagonistic or merely playing to the gallery,” he added.

Ikedife maintained that supporting Tinubu’s re-election would give the South-East a stronger bargaining position in national politics and improve its chances of securing support for an Igbo presidency in the future.

He argued that, under the country’s zoning arrangement, the presidency would return to the North after Tinubu’s second term, providing the South-East an opportunity to negotiate for its turn subsequently.

“Twelve years is not too long a time. With the support the South-East has given Bola Tinubu, we should be able to come to the table and negotiate support for an Igbo man to become president,” he said.

The APC chieftain regretted what he described as the South-East’s failure to engage in strategic political negotiations in the past, particularly during the administration of former President Goodluck Jonathan.

He recalled that some Igbo political leaders had supported Jonathan partly because of his name, Ebele, and his perceived connections with the South-East, without securing a structured political agreement that could advance the region’s presidential ambition.

He said the region must learn from the experience by developing a deliberate political strategy capable of attracting support from other geopolitical zones.

On the economy, Ikedife dismissed criticisms of Tinubu’s administration over the rising cost of living, arguing that economic challenges were part of a wider global situation and not peculiar to Nigeria.

He defended the removal of fuel subsidy, saying the policy had increased allocations to state governments and enabled several of them to embark on infrastructure projects, clear outstanding salary and pension arrears and improve workers’ welfare.

According to him, states that previously struggled to meet their salary obligations were now better positioned to pay workers, while increased federal allocations had also supported transportation interventions and other welfare programmes.

He also cited the new national minimum wage of N70,000, noting that some states, including Imo and Ebonyi, had gone beyond the national benchmark.

Ikedife maintained that Tinubu’s economic reforms were beginning to yield results and appealed to Nigerians to exercise patience as the country moved towards what he described as an era of prosperity.

The APC chieftain further predicted that Tinubu’s victory in 2027 would be easier than his 2023 electoral outing.

He recalled the cash scarcity that preceded the 2023 general election, when many Nigerians reportedly struggled to access their money despite having funds in their bank accounts.

He argued that the political atmosphere was now more favourable to the President, particularly with the reported backing of several state governors, including some elected on opposition party platforms.

“There must be something our political leaders know about President Tinubu that many people don’t know. Even opposition state governors are coordinating his re-election bid,” he said.

Ikedife also listed the administration’s interventions in education, road infrastructure and electricity sector reforms among the reasons Tinubu deserved another term.

He particularly highlighted the constitutional changes that moved electricity generation and distribution from the Exclusive Legislative List to the Concurrent Legislative List, allowing states to establish and regulate their own electricity markets.

Commenting on Anambra State Governor Charles Soludo’s decision to coordinate Tinubu’s re-election campaign in the state, Ikedife described the move as an expression of political sagacity.

He said Soludo had correctly advised the people of Anambra to move away from what he described as emotional politics and embrace a political approach driven by their interests.

According to him, Tinubu secured only about 5,000 votes in Anambra State during the 2023 presidential election but still emerged victorious nationally, making it necessary for the state to reconsider its political strategy ahead of 2027.

“With or without our 5,000 votes, he is going to be elected President of Nigeria again. What Soludo is saying is that for us to be part and parcel of national politics, to sit at the table and make demands for the dividends of democracy accruing to us as citizens of Anambra State and Nigeria, we must remove emotional politics,” he said.

Ikedife urged Anambra residents to support Soludo’s position, arguing that aligning with the ruling political establishment would give the South-East a stronger voice in national affairs.

He added that Soludo’s declaration that progressives were working together in Anambra reflected the political direction the state should pursue ahead of the 2027 general election.

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Obi Defies Lagos Attack, Vows To Campaign Across Every Part Of State As Reps, Police Launch Probe

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Mr Peter Obi speaking at a Town Hall meeting
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•  The NDC presidential candidate condemns political violence, pledges to make Lagos a major driver of Nigeria’s economy, while the House of Representatives sets up a three-week committee to investigate attacks on political gatherings ahead of the 2027 elections.

The presidential candidate of the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC), Peter Obi, has vowed that the party will campaign across every part of Lagos State despite an attack on its supporters during a town hall meeting in Oregun, Ikeja.

Obi gave the assurance on Thursday while addressing party supporters at the gathering, which was disrupted by suspected political thugs who reportedly stormed the venue with dangerous weapons, injured participants and damaged vehicles.

The attack occurred at Classique Event Place, along Kudirat Abiola Way, Oregun, as party members were preparing for the arrival of Obi and his running mate, Rabiu Kwankwaso.

According to accounts from party members, the attackers, allegedly armed with cutlasses, cudgels and stones, invaded the venue around 11am, triggering panic and forcing several participants to flee for safety.

Some vehicles were reportedly vandalised, while at least four people were said to have sustained injuries, although the circumstances surrounding the incident remain under investigation.

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Despite the disruption, Obi proceeded with the town hall engagement alongside Kwankwaso, his wife and the party’s Lagos governorship candidate, Funso Doherty.

Condemning the incident, the former Anambra State governor commended NDC supporters for their conduct and insisted that intimidation and violence would not prevent the party from reaching voters across Lagos.

“Today is not a campaign. We will campaign in every part of Lagos State. Our town hall meeting is an opportunity for us to listen to the people. We want to serve the people, and we must listen to them. That will give us the idea of what they want,” Obi said.

He assured supporters that their commitment to the party’s political movement would not be wasted, urging them to remain focused on building what he described as a new Nigeria.

Obi: Lagos Must Become Nigeria’s Economic Powerhouse

Speaking on his vision for Lagos, Obi described the state as central to Nigeria’s economic development but argued that it had yet to achieve the level of transformation witnessed in major global cities such as Shanghai and London.

“Lagos is important to us. Lagos is the mainstream of our economy, but today Lagos is not doing what Shanghai did to China or London did to the UK. We want Lagos to power Nigeria, and to power Nigeria, we want someone like Funso Doherty,” he said.

He urged Lagos residents to support Doherty’s governorship ambition in the 2027 elections.

On national security, Obi recalled his visit to Yelwata, where he said he witnessed the devastating consequences of violent attacks on communities.

He promised that an NDC-led government would prioritise the protection of lives and property, declaring that Nigerians should be able to travel freely without fear of kidnapping or attacks.

He also pledged to tackle corruption, improve electricity generation and distribution, make basic education compulsory and free, and establish functional primary healthcare centres in every ward across the country.

Obi said his administration would work towards generating, transmitting and distributing at least 10,000 megawatts of electricity within two to three years.

He also criticised President Bola Tinubu’s leadership, arguing that the presidency required consistent energy, commitment and availability.

Police Confirm Attack, Two Men Hospitalised

Meanwhile, the Lagos State Police Command has confirmed the incident and announced the commencement of an investigation.

The Police Public Relations Officer, Abimbola Adebisi, said two men identified as Akinyemi Akeem and Ibrahim Babsule sustained serious injuries and were taken to the Emergency Centre, Toll Gate, for medical attention.

According to the police, preliminary information suggested that the injured men were allegedly among those involved in the attack, adding that their individual roles were being investigated.

The command said officers responded to a distress call, restored normalcy to the area and commenced investigations to establish what happened and bring anyone found culpable to justice.

The NDC, however, alleged that about 200 suspected political thugs invaded the venue, accusing security operatives, including police and Department of State Services personnel, of failing to intervene promptly.

The party’s Lagos Publicity Secretary, Olushile Akinyemi, claimed that some of the security personnel watched as the attackers unleashed violence on party members.

The party also said one of the suspected attackers was apprehended and handed over to the police.

NDC Accuses APC, Ruling Party Denies Involvement

The incident has triggered accusations and counter-accusations between the NDC and the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC).

The NDC’s National Director of Publicity, Osai Director, accused the APC of masterminding attacks against its members in Lagos and Delta states, describing the incidents as attempts to undermine democracy.

However, the Lagos APC rejected the allegation, describing it as false and baseless.

The party’s Publicity Secretary, Seye Oladejo, said APC members and campaign officials were in Epe for the flag-off of their 2027 campaign activities when the incident occurred.

He challenged the NDC to provide credible evidence linking the APC to the attack and submit such evidence to security agencies.

The APC also condemned political violence and called on security agencies to strengthen intelligence gathering and prevent attacks on lawful political gatherings.

Similarly, the APC Presidential Campaign Council condemned attacks on political activities across the country and urged security agencies to arrest and prosecute those responsible.

House of Representatives Opens Investigation

In a related development, the House of Representatives has constituted an ad hoc committee to investigate reported cases of political violence, attacks on political gatherings and disruption of political activities across Nigeria ahead of the 2027 general elections.

The decision followed the adoption of a motion of urgent public importance sponsored by House Minority Leader, Fred Agbedi, and 16 other lawmakers on Thursday.

The committee, chaired by the House Leader, Prof. Julius Ihonvbere, has been given three weeks to investigate the immediate and remote causes of political violence and submit its findings.

Agbedi warned that the growing incidents of political intimidation, assault and destruction of property could threaten the peaceful conduct of the 2027 elections and undermine public confidence in Nigeria’s democratic process.

He cited several incidents across the country, including reported attacks in Enugu, Katsina, Nasarawa and Delta states.

The lawmaker also referenced Section 40 of the 1999 Constitution, which guarantees citizens the right to peaceful assembly and association, including the right to form and belong to political parties.

He urged the House to investigate the circumstances surrounding the incidents and examine the performance of public authorities responsible for enforcing relevant laws.

CDHR Demands 16-Year Ban For Beneficiaries Of Electoral Violence

Also reacting to the growing concerns, the Committee for the Defence of Human Rights (CDHR) has proposed that political candidates who benefit from electoral violence should be disqualified from contesting elections for up to 16 years.

The organisation’s National President, Debo Adeniran, said electoral contests should revolve around ideas, policies and programmes rather than intimidation, assault and destruction.

He urged political leaders to caution their supporters and called for investigations into reported attacks across the country.

Adeniran argued that individuals who organise or benefit from political violence should face appropriate sanctions, proposing amendments to electoral laws to make such disqualification possible.

Concerns Mount Ahead Of 2027 Elections

The latest attack comes amid growing concerns over political violence across the country as political activities gradually intensify ahead of the 2027 general elections.

The National Peace Committee recently reported 109 breaches of the National Peace Accord across 26 states and the Federal Capital Territory during a 10-week monitoring period between August 19 and October 27.

Political violence and thuggery accounted for 33 reported incidents, while misinformation and disinformation accounted for 29.

The committee identified Kaduna, Edo and Enugu as potential election flashpoints, citing recurring political violence, armed disruptions and other security concerns.

Other reported incidents include the attacks on political supporters in Katsina, the alleged attack on Peter Obi’s convoy in Calabar, and violence during a political procession in Asaba, Delta State, where one person was reportedly killed and five others injured.

The developments have renewed calls for security agencies to provide equal protection for all political parties and ensure that perpetrators of political violence are brought to justice, irrespective of their political affiliations.

With the 2027 elections approaching, Obi’s declaration that the NDC will campaign across every part of Lagos signals the party’s determination to continue its political activities despite the violence, while the ongoing police and legislative investigations will be closely watched.

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