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Obi most popular choice among Nigerians, Kwakol Poll reveals

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Peter Gregory Obi, the presidential candidate of the Labour Party, is the most popular candidate among the major contenders seeking to become the nation’s next president, according to a new poll conducted by the Kwakol Research Institute.

The poll, which took a different approach to collecting valuable data and providing reasonable conclusions, arrived at the conclusion that the Labour Party presidential candidate was the ideal choice for more than 50 percent of respondents, including women, the unemployed, civil servants, private sector participants, and students, especially those in tertiary institutions.

Unlike most polls, Kwakol gathered most of its responses from rural dwellers. “It is important to note that, unlike the majority of the polls in Nigeria, we polled more registered voters in rural Nigeria than registered voters in semi-urban Nigeria and urban Nigeria, respectively,” it stated.

The research agency also used several parameters to arrive at its conclusion—for example, the issue of income classification, educational background, work status, and sex were factors used in arriving at its conclusion.

In summation, 52.80 percent of respondents said that they would vote for the Labour Party, 18.9 percent said they would vote for the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), 15.6 percent said they would vote for the All Progressives Congress, and 10.4 percent said that they would vote for the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP).

It must be pertinent to note that respondents in the exercise cut across the six geopolitical zones and income backgrounds. The spread of the poll had 45 percent of respondents residing in rural areas, while semi-urban areas narrowly edged out urban respondents by a point, with them taking up 28 percent and 27 percent, respectively.

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A further breakdown showed that the agency agreed with popular census figures of the numerical strength of the Northwest and Southwest geopolitical zones, with the spread resulting in 25.27 percent and 19 percent, respectively, while the Southsouth and Southeast ended up with 13.44 percent and 12.13 percent, respectively.

Obi gained more acceptance with young people who fell within the age bracket of 18 to 69, with 56 percent of those within the age range of 35 to 49 years and with valid Permanent Voter Cards (PVCs) saying that they would vote for him at the February 25 election.

Across the occupational background divide, over 70 percent of respondents working in the private sector said that they would vote for Obi and his Labour Party. This performance was closely followed by civil servants, whose 66.9 percent of respondents said that they would vote for him as president in next week’s Saturday election. 53.4 percent of the students said they would vote for him. This was closely followed by 52.3 percent of unemployed respondents who said they would vote for him.

Another interesting revelation from the Kwakol poll revealed that over 67 percent of respondents earning above N200,000 said that they would vote for Obi. This result was closely followed by the 64.5 percent of respondents who earned between N101,000 and N200,000 and said that they would vote for Obi.

The poll also revealed that over 53 percent of female respondents said that they would vote for Obi, a figure that is more than the APC, PDP, and NNPP figures combined. Despite a slight gender gap, 52.61 percent of male respondents said they would vote for the Obi.

Another parameter used in the analysis revealed that an overwhelming 64.41 percent of respondents with at most a tertiary education said that they would vote for Obi and his Labour Party in next week’s presidential election. The least surprising finding was that 30 percent of uneducated respondents said they would vote for Obi and the Labour Party in next week’s presidential election.

Kwakol provided two scenarios that might be exceptions to the poll results. First, it was agreed that though the sample size of 1,000 respondents wasn’t representative enough, Obi wasn’t totally certain of victory in the next Saturday’s presidential election. Why you may ask?

Elections in Nigeria have always been “characterized by electoral violence, terror violence, sectionalist violence, and voter intimidation,” it stated.

For the first scenario, it was predicted that in the event of violent attacks in the North Central geopolitical zone, voter turnout would decline significantly. “A situation that would have an impact on the number of votes available for the Labour Party and the NNPP,” it said. This leaves the two major political parties to slug it out.

In the north-east geopolitical region, “if an outburst of violence by non-state actors occurs in the northwest, this will significantly reduce voter turnout, and the only parties to benefit from traditional voting patterns will be the PDP and the APC, whose strongholds are in the geopolitical zone.”

For the Northwest, in the event of a breakout of violence, “all the frontline political parties will be adversely affected, but the APC will benefit from the 2019 voting patterns despite a significantly lower voter turnout.”

For the South East geopolitical zone, it feared that concerns from the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB) militant wing—the Eastern Security Network (ESN)—could reduce the numerical chance of Obi, while in the South-South zone, Kwakol said that “we do not expect to see an outburst of violence from the militants in the South-South geopolitical zone, but we suspect that hired political thuggery could be a recurring theme during the election, particularly in River and Delta States. We think that this will likely be due to specific interests for the minimum 25 election of votes cast in the two respective states. We also suspect that pro-LP strongholds in the region might be targeted in order to heighten voter anxiety, therefore dampening voter turnout. The LP, more specifically, will rue this probable outcome.

For the South West region, it was argued that if political thuggery erupted, the APC would benefit, reducing the Labour Party’s chances significantly.

In essence, it predicted that “if either of the six scenarios below of electoral violence plays out in any of the geopolitical zones, the probable political party to benefit is the APC, most likely due to a repeat of the 2019 voting patterns that were favorable to the party in hindsight.”

“In the eventuality that the presidency has to be decided by a run-off presidential election round between the two parties with the greatest number of votes cast in their respective favor, and if these two parties happen to be the APC and LP, we predict a very close race with the APC as the eventual winner.

“The APC’s incumbency, reliable voting patterns in its strongholds in the northwest and southwest, and the further polarization of the electorate along time-honored ethnoreligious lines in the midst of reeling voter fatigue will be of advantage to the APC,” it stated.

However, in the event of a likely run-off between the PDP and the Labour Party, Kwakol predicts that while the PDP will be adversely affected by the expected low voter turnout in the Northwest and while the Southwest will back the LP instead of the PDP, it will not be enough for the LP. The PDP will benefit from Nigeria’s time-honored voting patterns along ethnoreligious and sectionalist lines, where the proportion of registered voters across the north will be of utmost importance.

In the event of a likely APC-PDP runoff, “the PDP will benefit from a section of the electorate that is disgruntled with the APC’s same-religion candidate pairing, especially in the south-south and southeast.”

“The PDP will also benefit from a section of the LP strongholds in the south-south and the southeast. The APC will maintain its strongholds in the northwest and the southwest albeit with a reeling voter fatigue. This leaves the key battleground geopolitical zones in the context of this run-off pairing to be the northeast and the north-central zones. Thus, we predict that the PDP will just about edge out the APC in this very tight race,” it predicted.

It created another permutation, stating that in the event of a last-minute alliance between “the APC and the NNPP with the NNPP dropping out of the race, we predict that the APC will be able to gain more support from the NNPP stronghold in the north and northeast, and thus, it is likely that the APC will win the election in the first round.”

In its final permutation, Kwakol argued that “if there is a last-minute alliance between the PDP and the NNPP with the NNPP dropping out of the race, we predict that the PDP will be able to gain more support from the NNPP strongholds in the Northwest. However, we cannot conclude if this is enough for the PDP to win the presidential election in the first round.”

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2027: APC Chairman Yilwatda Charges North-Central Governors, Guber Candidates to Unite for Tinubu’s Re-election

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APC National Chairman, Prof. Nentawe Goshwe Yilwatda,
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The National Chairman of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Prof. Nentawe Goshwe Yilwatda, has charged APC governors, governorship candidates and party leaders across the North-Central region to unite political stakeholders and mobilise massive support for President Bola Tinubu ahead of the 2027 presidential election.

Yilwatda gave the charge at the APC presidential campaign rally held at Azaria Road Stadium, Jos, Plateau State, where President Tinubu’s campaign train received an enthusiastic reception from party leaders, supporters and residents.

In a statement issued on Saturday by his Special Adviser on Media and Information Strategy, Abimbola Tooki, the APC chairman expressed satisfaction with the large turnout and what he described as renewed unity among party leaders and supporters in Plateau State.

He described the rally as evidence of the party’s growing cohesion and commitment to securing Tinubu’s re-election, urging residents to translate the enthusiasm demonstrated at the event into votes.

Yilwatda insisted that Plateau State must deliver a record-breaking electoral victory for the President, declaring that political leaders in the state were now fully united behind Tinubu.

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He also described the President as a promise keeper who had fulfilled his commitments to Plateau State, arguing that the administration’s performance provided a strong basis for renewed public support.

A major highlight of the rally was the presentation of APC flags to the party’s governorship candidates across the North-Central states, a symbolic exercise aimed at strengthening party unity and consolidating its political structures ahead of the 2027 elections.

Addressing the party’s leadership across the region, Yilwatda specifically urged governors, governorship candidates and other stakeholders to put aside personal interests, reconcile differences and work towards a common political objective.

In Plateau State, he called on party leaders to sustain the unity already achieved and intensify mobilisation for Tinubu and other APC candidates.

He also charged the Benue State Governor and party leaders to harmonise competing interests, unite political stakeholders and mobilise voters for the party’s victory.

For Niger State, the APC chairman expressed confidence that the party’s leadership would use the flag presentation as a rallying point to strengthen unity and secure victory for Tinubu and other candidates.

Similarly, while presenting the party’s flag to its governorship candidate in Nasarawa State, Yilwatda urged him and other party leaders to provide purposeful leadership, unite stakeholders and mobilise support for the President.

He said the party must also work towards greater prosperity, peace and development in the state.

The APC chairman maintained that the North-Central region must approach the forthcoming elections with a common purpose, stressing that political differences and individual ambitions should not undermine the party’s collective interest.

He further directed party structures, elected officials, candidates and grassroots mobilisers to intensify engagements with voters and ensure that the enthusiasm recorded at the Jos rally translates into electoral support across the region.

“Our strength lies in our unity, our strategy is effective mobilisation, and our destination is victory. I therefore charge all our governors, governorship candidates and party leaders across the North-Central to unite every stakeholder in their respective states and work together to deliver maximum votes for President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

“The Jos rally has demonstrated what we can achieve when we stand together. We must sustain this momentum, take our message to every community and ensure that our commitment to the President is reflected in our votes,” he said.

Yilwatda assured APC members and supporters that the party would sustain its mobilisation drive, strengthen its political structures and work collectively towards what he described as a decisive victory for Tinubu and all APC candidates in the 2027 general elections.

The statement was signed by Abimbola Tooki, Special Adviser to the APC National Chairman on Media and Information Strategy, and dated November 14, 2026.

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2027: No Candidate Can Defeat Tinubu, Says Ikedife

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President Bola Tinubu
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• APC chieftain says Igbo presidency ambition must wait, urges South-East to support President’s re-election

The All Progressives Congress (APC) South-East Organising Secretary and member of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s Re-election Campaign Council, Dozie Ikedife Jnr, has declared that no candidate can defeat Tinubu in the 2027 presidential election.

Ikedife also said the South-East’s ambition to produce a Nigerian president must be put on hold, insisting that an Igbo presidency is not politically achievable in 2027.

He made the remarks during an interview at his residence in Nnewi, Anambra State, at the weekend, where he argued that Tinubu had performed sufficiently well to deserve a second term in office.

According to him, the South-East must prioritise political realities and strategic negotiations over emotional considerations in pursuing its presidential ambition.

Quoting Imo State Governor, Hope Uzodimma, Ikedife urged Ndigbo to distinguish between what they desire and what is politically achievable.

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“We desire an Igbo man to be president, but what is realisable today is for Tinubu to go and do his second tenure in office to lead Nigeria from his reforms to the era of prosperity,” he said.

He described it as unrealistic to assume that any presidential candidate could defeat Tinubu in 2027, given what he considered the President’s achievements in office.

“An Igbo man has a serious chance of becoming president, but I don’t see it being achievable in 2027. I respect the fact that an Igbo man is in the race, but we have to find ways to engineer our political movement so that we are not seen as being antagonistic or merely playing to the gallery,” he added.

Ikedife maintained that supporting Tinubu’s re-election would give the South-East a stronger bargaining position in national politics and improve its chances of securing support for an Igbo presidency in the future.

He argued that, under the country’s zoning arrangement, the presidency would return to the North after Tinubu’s second term, providing the South-East an opportunity to negotiate for its turn subsequently.

“Twelve years is not too long a time. With the support the South-East has given Bola Tinubu, we should be able to come to the table and negotiate support for an Igbo man to become president,” he said.

The APC chieftain regretted what he described as the South-East’s failure to engage in strategic political negotiations in the past, particularly during the administration of former President Goodluck Jonathan.

He recalled that some Igbo political leaders had supported Jonathan partly because of his name, Ebele, and his perceived connections with the South-East, without securing a structured political agreement that could advance the region’s presidential ambition.

He said the region must learn from the experience by developing a deliberate political strategy capable of attracting support from other geopolitical zones.

On the economy, Ikedife dismissed criticisms of Tinubu’s administration over the rising cost of living, arguing that economic challenges were part of a wider global situation and not peculiar to Nigeria.

He defended the removal of fuel subsidy, saying the policy had increased allocations to state governments and enabled several of them to embark on infrastructure projects, clear outstanding salary and pension arrears and improve workers’ welfare.

According to him, states that previously struggled to meet their salary obligations were now better positioned to pay workers, while increased federal allocations had also supported transportation interventions and other welfare programmes.

He also cited the new national minimum wage of N70,000, noting that some states, including Imo and Ebonyi, had gone beyond the national benchmark.

Ikedife maintained that Tinubu’s economic reforms were beginning to yield results and appealed to Nigerians to exercise patience as the country moved towards what he described as an era of prosperity.

The APC chieftain further predicted that Tinubu’s victory in 2027 would be easier than his 2023 electoral outing.

He recalled the cash scarcity that preceded the 2023 general election, when many Nigerians reportedly struggled to access their money despite having funds in their bank accounts.

He argued that the political atmosphere was now more favourable to the President, particularly with the reported backing of several state governors, including some elected on opposition party platforms.

“There must be something our political leaders know about President Tinubu that many people don’t know. Even opposition state governors are coordinating his re-election bid,” he said.

Ikedife also listed the administration’s interventions in education, road infrastructure and electricity sector reforms among the reasons Tinubu deserved another term.

He particularly highlighted the constitutional changes that moved electricity generation and distribution from the Exclusive Legislative List to the Concurrent Legislative List, allowing states to establish and regulate their own electricity markets.

Commenting on Anambra State Governor Charles Soludo’s decision to coordinate Tinubu’s re-election campaign in the state, Ikedife described the move as an expression of political sagacity.

He said Soludo had correctly advised the people of Anambra to move away from what he described as emotional politics and embrace a political approach driven by their interests.

According to him, Tinubu secured only about 5,000 votes in Anambra State during the 2023 presidential election but still emerged victorious nationally, making it necessary for the state to reconsider its political strategy ahead of 2027.

“With or without our 5,000 votes, he is going to be elected President of Nigeria again. What Soludo is saying is that for us to be part and parcel of national politics, to sit at the table and make demands for the dividends of democracy accruing to us as citizens of Anambra State and Nigeria, we must remove emotional politics,” he said.

Ikedife urged Anambra residents to support Soludo’s position, arguing that aligning with the ruling political establishment would give the South-East a stronger voice in national affairs.

He added that Soludo’s declaration that progressives were working together in Anambra reflected the political direction the state should pursue ahead of the 2027 general election.

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Obi Defies Lagos Attack, Vows To Campaign Across Every Part Of State As Reps, Police Launch Probe

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Mr Peter Obi speaking at a Town Hall meeting
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•  The NDC presidential candidate condemns political violence, pledges to make Lagos a major driver of Nigeria’s economy, while the House of Representatives sets up a three-week committee to investigate attacks on political gatherings ahead of the 2027 elections.

The presidential candidate of the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC), Peter Obi, has vowed that the party will campaign across every part of Lagos State despite an attack on its supporters during a town hall meeting in Oregun, Ikeja.

Obi gave the assurance on Thursday while addressing party supporters at the gathering, which was disrupted by suspected political thugs who reportedly stormed the venue with dangerous weapons, injured participants and damaged vehicles.

The attack occurred at Classique Event Place, along Kudirat Abiola Way, Oregun, as party members were preparing for the arrival of Obi and his running mate, Rabiu Kwankwaso.

According to accounts from party members, the attackers, allegedly armed with cutlasses, cudgels and stones, invaded the venue around 11am, triggering panic and forcing several participants to flee for safety.

Some vehicles were reportedly vandalised, while at least four people were said to have sustained injuries, although the circumstances surrounding the incident remain under investigation.

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Despite the disruption, Obi proceeded with the town hall engagement alongside Kwankwaso, his wife and the party’s Lagos governorship candidate, Funso Doherty.

Condemning the incident, the former Anambra State governor commended NDC supporters for their conduct and insisted that intimidation and violence would not prevent the party from reaching voters across Lagos.

“Today is not a campaign. We will campaign in every part of Lagos State. Our town hall meeting is an opportunity for us to listen to the people. We want to serve the people, and we must listen to them. That will give us the idea of what they want,” Obi said.

He assured supporters that their commitment to the party’s political movement would not be wasted, urging them to remain focused on building what he described as a new Nigeria.

Obi: Lagos Must Become Nigeria’s Economic Powerhouse

Speaking on his vision for Lagos, Obi described the state as central to Nigeria’s economic development but argued that it had yet to achieve the level of transformation witnessed in major global cities such as Shanghai and London.

“Lagos is important to us. Lagos is the mainstream of our economy, but today Lagos is not doing what Shanghai did to China or London did to the UK. We want Lagos to power Nigeria, and to power Nigeria, we want someone like Funso Doherty,” he said.

He urged Lagos residents to support Doherty’s governorship ambition in the 2027 elections.

On national security, Obi recalled his visit to Yelwata, where he said he witnessed the devastating consequences of violent attacks on communities.

He promised that an NDC-led government would prioritise the protection of lives and property, declaring that Nigerians should be able to travel freely without fear of kidnapping or attacks.

He also pledged to tackle corruption, improve electricity generation and distribution, make basic education compulsory and free, and establish functional primary healthcare centres in every ward across the country.

Obi said his administration would work towards generating, transmitting and distributing at least 10,000 megawatts of electricity within two to three years.

He also criticised President Bola Tinubu’s leadership, arguing that the presidency required consistent energy, commitment and availability.

Police Confirm Attack, Two Men Hospitalised

Meanwhile, the Lagos State Police Command has confirmed the incident and announced the commencement of an investigation.

The Police Public Relations Officer, Abimbola Adebisi, said two men identified as Akinyemi Akeem and Ibrahim Babsule sustained serious injuries and were taken to the Emergency Centre, Toll Gate, for medical attention.

According to the police, preliminary information suggested that the injured men were allegedly among those involved in the attack, adding that their individual roles were being investigated.

The command said officers responded to a distress call, restored normalcy to the area and commenced investigations to establish what happened and bring anyone found culpable to justice.

The NDC, however, alleged that about 200 suspected political thugs invaded the venue, accusing security operatives, including police and Department of State Services personnel, of failing to intervene promptly.

The party’s Lagos Publicity Secretary, Olushile Akinyemi, claimed that some of the security personnel watched as the attackers unleashed violence on party members.

The party also said one of the suspected attackers was apprehended and handed over to the police.

NDC Accuses APC, Ruling Party Denies Involvement

The incident has triggered accusations and counter-accusations between the NDC and the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC).

The NDC’s National Director of Publicity, Osai Director, accused the APC of masterminding attacks against its members in Lagos and Delta states, describing the incidents as attempts to undermine democracy.

However, the Lagos APC rejected the allegation, describing it as false and baseless.

The party’s Publicity Secretary, Seye Oladejo, said APC members and campaign officials were in Epe for the flag-off of their 2027 campaign activities when the incident occurred.

He challenged the NDC to provide credible evidence linking the APC to the attack and submit such evidence to security agencies.

The APC also condemned political violence and called on security agencies to strengthen intelligence gathering and prevent attacks on lawful political gatherings.

Similarly, the APC Presidential Campaign Council condemned attacks on political activities across the country and urged security agencies to arrest and prosecute those responsible.

House of Representatives Opens Investigation

In a related development, the House of Representatives has constituted an ad hoc committee to investigate reported cases of political violence, attacks on political gatherings and disruption of political activities across Nigeria ahead of the 2027 general elections.

The decision followed the adoption of a motion of urgent public importance sponsored by House Minority Leader, Fred Agbedi, and 16 other lawmakers on Thursday.

The committee, chaired by the House Leader, Prof. Julius Ihonvbere, has been given three weeks to investigate the immediate and remote causes of political violence and submit its findings.

Agbedi warned that the growing incidents of political intimidation, assault and destruction of property could threaten the peaceful conduct of the 2027 elections and undermine public confidence in Nigeria’s democratic process.

He cited several incidents across the country, including reported attacks in Enugu, Katsina, Nasarawa and Delta states.

The lawmaker also referenced Section 40 of the 1999 Constitution, which guarantees citizens the right to peaceful assembly and association, including the right to form and belong to political parties.

He urged the House to investigate the circumstances surrounding the incidents and examine the performance of public authorities responsible for enforcing relevant laws.

CDHR Demands 16-Year Ban For Beneficiaries Of Electoral Violence

Also reacting to the growing concerns, the Committee for the Defence of Human Rights (CDHR) has proposed that political candidates who benefit from electoral violence should be disqualified from contesting elections for up to 16 years.

The organisation’s National President, Debo Adeniran, said electoral contests should revolve around ideas, policies and programmes rather than intimidation, assault and destruction.

He urged political leaders to caution their supporters and called for investigations into reported attacks across the country.

Adeniran argued that individuals who organise or benefit from political violence should face appropriate sanctions, proposing amendments to electoral laws to make such disqualification possible.

Concerns Mount Ahead Of 2027 Elections

The latest attack comes amid growing concerns over political violence across the country as political activities gradually intensify ahead of the 2027 general elections.

The National Peace Committee recently reported 109 breaches of the National Peace Accord across 26 states and the Federal Capital Territory during a 10-week monitoring period between August 19 and October 27.

Political violence and thuggery accounted for 33 reported incidents, while misinformation and disinformation accounted for 29.

The committee identified Kaduna, Edo and Enugu as potential election flashpoints, citing recurring political violence, armed disruptions and other security concerns.

Other reported incidents include the attacks on political supporters in Katsina, the alleged attack on Peter Obi’s convoy in Calabar, and violence during a political procession in Asaba, Delta State, where one person was reportedly killed and five others injured.

The developments have renewed calls for security agencies to provide equal protection for all political parties and ensure that perpetrators of political violence are brought to justice, irrespective of their political affiliations.

With the 2027 elections approaching, Obi’s declaration that the NDC will campaign across every part of Lagos signals the party’s determination to continue its political activities despite the violence, while the ongoing police and legislative investigations will be closely watched.

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